Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Brest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
15º
41
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
MIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
NAF
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MKK
2 - 1
NAF
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 4
FKS
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Brest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 0
SLA
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 2
DIN
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 0
SHA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
ISL
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |