Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 6-7
Naftan Novopolotsk vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 1
NAF
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAF
3 - 0
BEL
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAF
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
NAF
0 - 0
SLA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
NAF
0 - 1
GOM
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VOJ
2 - 1
CRV
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CRV
2 - 0
BOR
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRV
3 - 1
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRV
1 - 0
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |