Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
14º
47
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 1
FKS
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 2
SLA
25%
26%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
5 - 1
NAF
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
NAF
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 1
OFC
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
DNM
0 - 1
BAT
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
4 - 3
FKS
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 2
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |