Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
NAF
0 - 1
SHA
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
ZOR
2 - 4
NAF
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
NAF
2 - 3
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
DNP
0 - 3
NAF
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
NAF
2 - 2
PMI
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
DTB
1 - 0
BAT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 3
BAT
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BAT
2 - 3
DTB
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
SLM
0 - 1
BAT
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
BAT
4 - 1
DAR
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |