Nafta Gbely vs Zlaté Moravce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Gbely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TJS
0 - 6
NAF
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 3
SEN
4%
10%
86%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
NIT
5%
11%
84%
|
16 | 59 | 43 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 0
SMY
5%
11%
85%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TJI
0 - 3
NAF
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zlaté Moravce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ZMO
3 - 1
FKP
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FKH
0 - 1
ZMO
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ZMO
2 - 2
TAT
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
ZMO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STL
0 - 2
ZMO
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |