Naft Tehran vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FOO
0 - 2
NAT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
NAT
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
NAT
0 - 0
MAL
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
NAT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
NAT
1 - 0
SMK
51%
27%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
FCS
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 0
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 2
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ZOB
2 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
PER
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |