Naft Tehran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 0
NAT
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 1
NAT
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
NAT
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 1
NAT
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2016 |
NAT
0 - 2
TRA
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Khuzestan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
EKU
1 - 1
SEP
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
EKU
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
EKU
0 - 1
TRA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
EKU
1 - 0
SAB
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
GOT
2 - 1
EKU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |