Naft Tehran vs Esteghlal Ahvaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.6%
8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 0
SAI
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOO
1 - 2
NAT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 1
PER
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 2
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SEP
2 - 1
NAT
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Ahvaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
TRA
12%
22%
67%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAI
4 - 1
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
FOO
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
EST
77%
17%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
SEP
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |