Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
16º
16º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naft Masjed Soleyman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SEP
4 - 0
NAF
71%
21%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 4
FOO
23%
30%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
5 - 1
NAF
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
NAF
0 - 0
MES
26%
29%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 2
NAF
63%
25%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
AAK
45%
30%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
3 - 0
NAS
36%
31%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
AAK
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
2 - 0
SMK
50%
29%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
AAK
47%
30%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |