Nadi vs Tavua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
TAI
2 - 0
NAD
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SUV
4 - 1
NAD
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
REW
0 - 0
NAD
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAD
1 - 2
NAV
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NAD
1 - 3
LAU
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tavua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAF
3 - 0
TAV
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 1
LAB
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 1
LAU
19%
20%
60%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 1
NAD
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 2
NAV
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |