Nacka vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
UPS
3 - 1
NAC
28%
22%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
KVA
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
HUD
42%
24%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 0
NAC
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SKI
3 - 1
NAC
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MJÄ
1 - 2
SIR
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 3
LJU
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 0
SYR
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 0
SIR
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 0
ANG
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |