Nacka Iliria vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
13º
10º
29
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacka Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 1
NAI
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 3
ATV
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HUD
0 - 2
NAI
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 2
SYR
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 4
NYK
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SME
1 - 4
SYR
26%
24%
51%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 0
SME
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SME
0 - 2
HAN
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASI
1 - 0
SME
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SME
3 - 0
MAI
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |