Nacka Iliria vs Nyköpings BIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
13º
13º
22
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 61 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 51 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 42 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 19 |
14º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacka Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SYL
2 - 2
NAI
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 1
SLE
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 1
ESK
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BKL
4 - 4
NAI
17%
19%
65%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
0 - 3
NAI
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Nyköpings BIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NYK
3 - 3
SYR
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SLE
1 - 2
NYK
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NYK
1 - 3
HAN
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ASI
1 - 1
NYK
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NYK
2 - 1
SME
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |