Nacka Iliria vs Enskede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
13º
10º
24
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 31 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacka Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 1
HUD
28%
24%
47%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NYK
3 - 2
NAI
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 2
SYL
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 0
NAI
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NAI
5 - 1
BKL
58%
19%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Enskede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SLE
2 - 2
ENS
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 3
HAN
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASI
1 - 0
ENS
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 0
SME
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ENS
1 - 2
IKB
12%
19%
70%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |