Nacional vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 3
FCP
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
FAR
3 - 1
NAC
49%
20%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
NAC
0 - 9
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
VST
2 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
VST
0 - 0
FAR
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 1
VST
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
VST
3 - 0
RIO
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |