Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAÇ
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SCP
3 - 2
NAC
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
VST
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |