Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 4
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 2
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCP
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
EST
4 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
VIT
2 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
RJC
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
SPB
2 - 0
VIT
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |