Nacional vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
29%
27%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |