Nacional vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAC
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 3
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
VST
2 - 0
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 1
PSG
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 0
SPB
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |