Nacional vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 0
NAC
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAC
6%
13%
81%
|
79 | 34 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
OLH
2 - 2
SPC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
OLH
1 - 0
ARO
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 2
OLH
11%
18%
71%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
OLH
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
OLH
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |