Nacional vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BMA
0 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLH
4 - 4
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPB
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
VST
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
BMA
55%
26%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
RIO
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |