Nacional vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 2
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
RIO
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RIO
3 - 2
PAÇ
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |