Nacional vs Porto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLI
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ACV
3 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAM
3 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEN
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COV
2 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |