Nacional vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GFC
2 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
11%
18%
70%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |