Nacional vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
29%
27%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
UNM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 1
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |