Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
PAÇ
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VST
2 - 1
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
PAÇ
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
PAÇ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |