Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 2
ACA
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2002 |
FCP
5 - 2
NAC
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
RIB
83%
12%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
UDL
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SLB
7 - 0
PAÇ
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BMA
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAÇ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |