Nacional vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
ACA
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MOU
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
NAC
7%
16%
77%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
TON
0 - 2
NAC
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
TON
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOR
15%
25%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOR
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |