Nacional vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 4
NAC
5%
10%
85%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEI
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
5 - 2
RIB
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 3
MIR
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OSL
2 - 0
MIR
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
TIR
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |