Nacional vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UDL
1 - 3
NAC
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCP
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAV
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |