Nacional vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPB
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
EST
0 - 2
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOA
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 1
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPB
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |