Nacional vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
ESA
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
LEX
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 2
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |