Nacional vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COV
3 - 1
NAC
13%
21%
67%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LEX
0 - 2
MAF
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
LEX
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LEX
0 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LEX
0 - 0
COV
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |