Nacional vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAÇ
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SLB
5 - 0
GFC
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GFC
0 - 3
ARO
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
GFC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |