Nacional vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 1
VIT
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
FAM
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 4
FCP
15%
20%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
TON
1 - 0
FAM
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FAM
0 - 1
GFC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |