Nacional vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
UNM
3 - 2
NAC
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOA
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
NAC
3 - 0
FEI
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
EST
3 - 1
BMA
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 0
EST
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
EST
1 - 0
TIR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
EST
0 - 1
VST
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |