Nacional vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
5 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 2
RIO
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 2
BOA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
BOA
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |