Nacional vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOA
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 2
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOA
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
BOA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIT
55%
27%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2004 |
VIA
1 - 3
BOA
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 32 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SPB
3 - 0
BOA
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |