Nacional vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
SLB
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 1
SPB
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 1
PAÇ
60%
25%
15%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
27%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |