Nacional vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
VST
0 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
NAC
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
SPB
0 - 2
BOA
39%
31%
31%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
BOA
1 - 0
BMA
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
LEX
0 - 0
BOA
30%
32%
38%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 1
FCP
25%
31%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |