Nacional vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SCP
3 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 3
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
TIR
3 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHA
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
4 - 1
UNM
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
EST
1 - 4
SLB
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
BOA
1 - 2
SLB
28%
28%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |