Nacional vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
BOA
0 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |