Nacional vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 2
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
3 - 3
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |