Nacional vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
BOA
4 - 0
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 1
VIT
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
GFC
2 - 0
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
BEL
0 - 1
UNM
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
FAR
0 - 0
BEL
50%
28%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
BEL
2 - 0
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
0 - 0
BEL
43%
30%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |