Nacional vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
NAC
3 - 1
VST
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
UNM
3 - 2
NAC
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CHA
2 - 1
BMA
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
BMA
0 - 2
VIT
37%
31%
33%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
EST
3 - 1
BMA
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |