Nacional vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
LEX
2 - 2
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
SPB
1 - 0
BMA
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 0
LEX
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
FCP
2 - 0
BMA
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |