Nacional vs Academico Viseu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
POR
0 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 4
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 2
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Academico Viseu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
ACV
0 - 1
CHA
27%
32%
41%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 1
ACV
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ACV
0 - 0
BMA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
FAF
0 - 0
ACV
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LEX
2 - 0
ACV
50%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |