Nacional vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VST
1 - 1
NAC
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BOA
2 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SCP
5 - 1
NAC
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 2
MAR
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |