Nacional U19 vs Vitória Setúbal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
28
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLN
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOR
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SET
1 - 0
BLN
39%
23%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SET
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SET
4 - 0
TOR
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SET
2 - 1
VIL
68%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
SET
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |