Nacional Sub 19 vs Vitória Guimarães Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
OPO
5 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 0
NAC
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIO
24%
21%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIZ
0 - 1
NAC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 4
FEI
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LEX
0 - 1
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 1
GFC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 4
GUI
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
BRG
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |